From predictive to prescriptive process monitoring: Recommending the next best actions instead of calculating the next most likely events

Bibtex

Cite as text

						@Select Types{,
							 
							 
							 
							 
							 
							Journal   = "Band-1",
							 Title= "From predictive to prescriptive process monitoring: Recommending the next best actions instead of calculating the next most likely events", 
							Author= "Sven Weinzierl, Sandra Zilker, Matthias Stierle, Gyunam Park, and Martin Matzner", 
							Doi= "https://doi.org/10.30844/wi_2020_c12-weinzierl", 
							 Abstract= "Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) deals with predicting a process’s future behavior based on historical event logs to support a process’s execution. Many of the recent techniques utilize a machine-learned model to predict which event type is the next most likely. Beyond PBPM, prescriptive BPM aims at finding optimal actions based on considering relevant key performance indicators. Existing techniques are geared towards the outcome prediction and deal with alarms for interventions or interventions that do not represent process events. In this paper, we argue that the next event prediction is insufficient for practitioners. Accordingly, this research-in-progress paper proposes a technique for determining next best actions that represent process events. We conducted an intermediate evaluation to test the usefulness and the quality of our technique compared to the most frequently cited technique for predicting next events. The results show a higher usefulness for process participants than a next most likely event.

", 
							 Keywords= "Prescriptive business process monitoring, predictive business process monitoring, business process management, design science research.
", 
							}
					
Sven Weinzierl, Sandra Zilker, Matthias Stierle, Gyunam Park, and Martin Matzner: From predictive to prescriptive process monitoring: Recommending the next best actions instead of calculating the next most likely events. Online: https://doi.org/10.30844/wi_2020_c12-weinzierl (Abgerufen 06.12.22)

Abstract

Abstract

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) deals with predicting a process’s future behavior based on historical event logs to support a process’s execution. Many of the recent techniques utilize a machine-learned model to predict which event type is the next most likely. Beyond PBPM, prescriptive BPM aims at finding optimal actions based on considering relevant key performance indicators. Existing techniques are geared towards the outcome prediction and deal with alarms for interventions or interventions that do not represent process events. In this paper, we argue that the next event prediction is insufficient for practitioners. Accordingly, this research-in-progress paper proposes a technique for determining next best actions that represent process events. We conducted an intermediate evaluation to test the usefulness and the quality of our technique compared to the most frequently cited technique for predicting next events. The results show a higher usefulness for process participants than a next most likely event.

Keywords

Schlüsselwörter

Prescriptive business process monitoring, predictive business process monitoring, business process management, design science research.

References

Referenzen

Leider ist der Eintrag nur auf Amerikanisches Englisch verfügbar.

Most viewed articles

Meist angesehene Beiträge

GITO events | library.gito